Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000093 0.000103 0.000113 0.000125 0.000139 0.000153 0.000170
2026-01-25 0.000078 0.000091 0.000106 0.000125 0.000146 0.000171 0.000202
2026-02-01 0.000067 0.000083 0.000101 0.000125 0.000154 0.000189 0.000235
2026-02-08 0.000058 0.000075 0.000095 0.000123 0.000159 0.000204 0.000265
2026-02-15 0.000052 0.000069 0.000091 0.000122 0.000164 0.000219 0.000298
2026-02-22 0.000047 0.000064 0.000088 0.000122 0.000170 0.000236 0.000334
2026-03-01 0.000042 0.000060 0.000084 0.000121 0.000174 0.000250 0.000366
2026-03-08 0.000039 0.000057 0.000083 0.000122 0.000182 0.000268 0.000407
2026-03-15 0.000036 0.000054 0.000081 0.000122 0.000187 0.000285 0.000446
2026-03-22 0.000033 0.000051 0.000078 0.000122 0.000191 0.000299 0.000481
2026-03-29 0.000031 0.000049 0.000077 0.000124 0.000199 0.000320 0.000531
2026-04-05 0.000029 0.000047 0.000076 0.000124 0.000205 0.000337 0.000574
2026-04-12 0.000027 0.000045 0.000073 0.000123 0.000209 0.000353 0.000619
2026-04-19 0.000025 0.000043 0.000071 0.000123 0.000213 0.000369 0.000664
2026-04-26 0.000024 0.000041 0.000070 0.000123 0.000218 0.000387 0.000715
2026-05-03 0.000022 0.000039 0.000067 0.000121 0.000220 0.000400 0.000756
2026-05-10 0.000021 0.000037 0.000066 0.000120 0.000224 0.000415 0.000805
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000036 0.000064 0.000120 0.000229 0.000434 0.000862
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000034 0.000062 0.000119 0.000231 0.000447 0.000909
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000033 0.000062 0.000120 0.000238 0.000471 0.000980
2026-06-07 0.000017 0.000032 0.000061 0.000120 0.000243 0.000491 0.001044
2026-06-14 0.000016 0.000031 0.000059 0.000120 0.000246 0.000506 0.001101
2026-06-21 0.000015 0.000030 0.000059 0.000122 0.000255 0.000535 0.001189